State | RCP average | Actual | Error/Bias |
---|---|---|---|
Wisconsin | Clinton +6.5 | Trump +0.8 | Clinton +7.3 |
Missouri | Trump +11.0 | Trump +19.1 | Clinton +7.1 |
Iowa | Trump +3.0 | Trump +9.5 | Clinton +6.5 |
Ohio | Trump +3.5 | Trump +8.0 | Clinton +4.5 |
Michigan | Clinton +3.4 | Trump +0.2 | Clinton +3.6 |
Pennsylvania | Clinton +1.9 | Trump +1.1 | Clinton +3.0 |
North Carolina | Trump +1.0 | Trump +3.7 | Clinton +2.7 |
Florida | Trump +0.2 | Trump +1.1 | Clinton +0.9 |
Georgia | Trump +4.8 | Trump +5.2 | Clinton +0.4 |
New Hampshire | Clinton +0.6 | Clinton +0.3 | Clinton +0.3 |
Arizona | Trump +4.0 | Trump +3.5 | Trump +0.5 |
Virginia | Clinton +5.0 | Clinton +5.5 | Trump +0.5 |
Colorado | Clinton +2.9 | Clinton +4.9 | Trump +2.0 |
Nevada | Trump +0.8 | Clinton +2.4 | Trump +3.2 |
Nevada | 51% |
Florida | 51% |
North Carolina | 56% |
PredictWise | 89% | |
NYT Upshot | 84% | |
PredictIt | 82% | |
ElectoralMap.net | 81% | |
Predictious | 75% | |
Nate Silver | 69% |
Pivit | 95% | |
PredictWise | 91% | |
Nate Silver | 87% | |
PredictIt | 85% | |
Predictious | 77% |
Florida | Clinton +24% |
North Carolina | Clinton +14% |
Arizona | Clinton +12% |
Ohio | Clinton +12% |
Iowa | Clinton +10% |
Forecast | Clinton Win |
---|---|
Pivit Electoral Map | 92% |
Nate Silver | 85% |
Pivit | 82% |
PredictWise | 79% |
PredictIt | 73% |
Predictious | 72% |
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