The 2012 Electoral Map and the Intrade Forecast

The map below has buttons to toggle between the actual 2012 Electoral College and the Intrade forecast from the night before the election. You can also hover over any state to see the precise Intrade forecast. Intrade is a prediction market where participants wager real money on the outcome of each state. Now that the dust has settled it appears as though the only state Intrade missed was Florida, which was given a 69% probability of going to Romney. Looking for maps earlier in the season? See the full set of maps all the way back to April

You Are Currently Viewing the - analyzing the 2012 election forecast of the Intrade prediction market and the polls. is going to HTML5 for the 2012 election season. It appears as though you are using a browser, such as older version of IE, which can't render the latest graphics technologies for the web. You need to obtain a modern browser to use this Electoral Map application.

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